• Thursday Morning Forecast Discussion – 11am

    Updated: 2010-09-30 17:01:31
    Good Thursday morning to you! Our local forecast is looking great over the next couple of days, but we have some chilly weather ahead. It’s amazing how fast our weather can change. Last week, we had temperatures in the triple digits for the majority of central Alabama. This week, we’re struggling to reach 80 degrees [...]

  • Next Up Is Otto… Tropical Low Could Become Otto Over The Next Few Days… Thursday 9:50am Update

    Updated: 2010-09-30 15:50:43
    A LARGE AREA OF DISTURBED WEATHER…ASSOCIATED WITH TWO TROPICAL WAVES…IS CENTERED ABOUT 800 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS.  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THIS AREA ARE CURRENTLY DISORGANIZED…BUT UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE MARGINALLY FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AROUND 15 MPH.  THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE…30 PERCENT…OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING [...]

  • West Alabama Forecast for Thursday, Sept. 30

    Updated: 2010-09-30 03:33:19
    Thursday Forecast:  More sunshine for West Alabama this Thursday with afternoon highs back close to the middle 80′s.  Overnight lows will stay chilly with temps in the low to mid 50′s.  Gameday weather for Saturday’s Bama/Florida game will be almost ideal.  The 7pm kickoff with give us cool temps in the 60′s to start the [...]

  • Wednesday Morning Forecast Discussion – 10:14am

    Updated: 2010-09-29 16:16:40
    Good Wednesday morning! Our forecast includes some fall-like weather over the next 7 days, with temperatures staying below average. It’s amazing the difference a week makes. Last week, temperatures were in the upper 90s to 100 degrees. Since Sunday, temperatures have stayed at or below 80 degrees for highs. A big ridge has setup over [...]

  • TD # 16 Becomes Nicole… Wednesday 10am

    Updated: 2010-09-29 16:00:40
    BANDS OF THUNDERSTORMS HAVE FORMED CLOSER TO THE CENTER OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION SINCE YESTERDAY.  ALSO…THERE HAVE BEEN A FEW SHIP…BUOY…AND LAND OBSERVATIONS OF SUSTAINED TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS.  BASED ON THE IMPROVED ORGANIZATION AND THE SURFACE DATA…THE SYSTEM IS UPGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM NICOLE.  SURFACE OBSERVATIONS FROM CUBA AND VISIBLE SATELLITE [...]

  • TD # 16 Is Moving Towards Florida… Flooding Rains Likely There… Wednesday Update 9 AM

    Updated: 2010-09-29 15:15:48
    ALTHOUGH THE SATELLITE APPEARANCE OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN HAS CHANGED LITTLE SINCE THE LAST ADVISORY…DOPPLER RADAR DATA FROM KEY WEST AND MIAMI…ALONG WITH RADAR RADAR FROM CUBA INDICATE CONVECTION HAS INCREASED IN THE NORTHERN SEMICIRCLE. ALSO…AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FLYING BETWEEN FLORIDA AND CUBA HAS INDICATED SURFACE WINDS OF 33 KT IN UNCONTAMINATED [...]

  • Monday was Seattle's most humid Sept. day ever

    Updated: 2010-09-29 13:40:56
    . , , , , Advanced Search News Weather Traffic Sports Entertainment Opinion Communities KOMO 4 TV KOMO Newsradio Local Deals Blog Radar Satellite 7 Day School Delays Forecast Maps FAQ Cameras Links Ski Report Stay Connected : Watch live : KOMO 4 TV What's on : nbsp Listen : KOMO Newsradio Police Scanner Video YouNews Promotions Advanced Search Fisher Celebrates 100 Years Monday was Seattle's most humid Sept . day ever Tools 0 Comments Email this article Facebook Tweet Digg Print this article By Scott Sistek Story Created : Sep 28, 2010 at 12:53 PM PDT Story Updated : Sep 28, 2010 at 4:44 PM PDT Does it feel like we're in the wrong time zone this week Some mentioned the muggy weather has had the feel of Hawaii . Others said it was like I was back home in Atlanta . quot Well , you were both

  • West Alabama Forecast for Wednesday, Sept. 29

    Updated: 2010-09-29 03:43:57
    The wonderful fall weather continues in West Alabama this Wednesday.  We will start the morning in the upper 40′s in many locations…with others in the lower 50′s.  Either way, Wednesday will get off to a chilly start.  Afternoon highs will climb back into the lower 80′s.  Not much change in the weather forecast through Saturday [...]

  • An Early Look At Your Football Saturday Forecast.. Tuesday 2pm Update

    Updated: 2010-09-28 19:56:49
    Alabama plays Florida in Tuscaloosa on Saturday, with a kickoff time of 7pm. The good news is that we’re not expecting rain for the game. I know its several days out, but I wanted to give you an early look at the forecast. Temperatures will likely top out in the lower 80s on Saturday, with [...]

  • 2010 Photos

    Updated: 2010-09-28 08:33:41
    I've decided to add a few new photos to the image gallery. Just as a shameless plug - I do sell the photos with a variety of frames and printing options, if you see something you'd like to hang on you wall - contact me!

  • Incredible Humidity

    Updated: 2010-09-28 00:57:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Monday , September 27, 2010 Incredible Humidity Today the humidity has been extraordinary around western Washington and Oregon . I mean sticky . Feels like the southeast U.S . during the summer--and for good reason : we are experiencing very , very high humidities with dew points in the mid to upper 60s in many . locations Remember dew point is a very good measure of humidity . high dew points mean lots of water vapor in the atmosphere . Typically this time of the year dew points would be around 50F . Here are some dew point values at 5 : PM UW 67F Olympia 69F Tacoma 67F Portland 63F Cascade Locks 72F There is a satellite that senses water vapor from

  • WKU Meteorology blog makes Top 50 list

    Updated: 2010-09-27 21:31:10
    The WKU Meteorology blog was included in a list of “50 Scholarly Blogs for Climate Science Students” put together by the website Onlinecollege.org. The WKU Meteorology Blog was among 22 “Climate, Weather, and Meteorology blogs” that made the list, which can be found at http://www.onlinecollege.org/2010/09/20/50-scholarly-blogs-for-climate-science-students/. Of the 22 climate and meteorology blogs, only four were run [...]

  • major pattern change in progress

    Updated: 2010-09-27 17:18:43
    Overall we have low pressure moving up the east coast with a nice pipeline of tropical moisture. Low clouds and light showers will be present on the backside into Tuesday. Also NW flow will be in place for the week. This means highs will be more seasonable in the 70’s with lows in the 50’s.  [...]

  • The Rain Cometh

    Updated: 2010-09-26 04:34:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Saturday , September 25, 2010 The Rain Cometh Today was as close to perfect as weather can get around here . In Seattle : no clouds , high in the mid-70s , nice breeze . The air was clean and visibility was . excellent But this will be a weekend with a different ending and the change is moving in right . now Here is the latest radar image from the NWS Camano Is . radar . You see all those greens and yellows in the upper left-hand portion of the image . that is moderate rain associated with a well-defined frontal band that is now moving into western Washington . The echos over the Puget Sound region are probably . birds The frontal band that is moving

  • major pattern change in progress

    Updated: 2010-09-25 22:58:25
    Yesterday’s squall line dropped 0.11 inches of rain at the WKU Farm with a maximum wind gust of  27.5 miles per hour. While certainly not the most impressive total, this was the first time in nearly two weeks that a single event brought Bowling Green more than a tenth of an inch of rain. While [...]

  • Front moves through, brings in cooler temperatures.

    Updated: 2010-09-25 04:36:04
    At long last, the summer heat has broken! The dominant ridge that has been sitting in place over Kentucky for the past several days has been replaced by a trough, bringing in substantially cooler temperatures that will finally make it feel like summer has ended. While we cannot rule out the possibility of a fall [...]

  • Is Autumn finally arriving?

    Updated: 2010-09-24 03:32:45
    For the past several days, we Kentuckians have been stuck with the same aggravatingly hot conditions generated by this more or less stationary ridge over the southeast. Bowling Green started off fall with the mercury tying a record high temperature of 95°F today. Forunately, these hot conditions may only have another day left, as a [...]

  • The First Atmospheric River of the Season

    Updated: 2010-09-23 21:27:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Thursday , September 23, 2010 The First Atmospheric River of the Season Some of the most important wintertime weather features of our region are the plumes of moisture that stream northeastward out of the tropics and subtropics . In the discipline these plumes are often called atmospheric rivers and the atmospheric river that is often discussed in the media is the pineapple express . This weekend the first major atmospheric river of the season will strike our region , specifically central and northern Vancouver Island and adjacent portions of British . Columbia Here is a recent computer forecast of the amount of water vapor in the atmosphere the fancy

  • Red Flag Warning till 8pm

    Updated: 2010-09-22 19:56:00
    The National Weather Service has issued a Red Flag Warning for Warren County for more click here.

  • End of Summer? I THINK NOT

    Updated: 2010-09-22 17:02:28
    I overheard someone last week that said the following: “I am so excited to see this fall weather” I was so upset to hear this, because the south just doesn’t understand what fall really is. Technically speaking there are 3 different versions to the start of fall: Meteorological Fall:  September 1st, 2010 at 12:00 am [...]

  • Relief in Sight, Along With Slight Rain Chances

    Updated: 2010-09-21 23:34:10
    High pressure will continue to dominate the area over the next few days, keeping the hot and dry weather around. Temperatures are forecast to top out in the mid 90s on both Wednesday and Thursday. There is a slight chance of a shower or thunderstorm tonight, as both the RUC and the GFS paint a [...]

  • More of the Same

    Updated: 2010-09-20 18:00:51
    With a broad ridge of high pressure still parked over the mid-South and the jet stream well to the north of the area, conditions are forecast to stay dry and warmer than normal for the next several days. Average highs for Bowling Green this time of year are around 80, but high temperatures are expected [...]

  • Forecasting's Achilles Heel

    Updated: 2010-09-18 19:00:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Saturday , September 18, 2010 Forecasting's Achilles Heel Today we are experiencing a noticeable forecast failure and one that in some sense is . self-inflicted Here is Puget Sound country it is going to be a beautiful day . lots of sun and temps rising into the 70s . Look outside or view the latest visible satellite . picture On the other hand the National Weather Service forecast RELEASED THIS MORNING paints a less optimistic . picture And yesterday's forecast was even more . pessimistic The computer forecasts yesterday showed the break between systems see example and certainly this morning it was . clear Why didn't the message about a spectacular

  • The Birds Are Back

    Updated: 2010-09-15 05:47:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Tuesday , September 14, 2010 The Birds Are Back I have mentioned before that birds can be viewed on weather radar , and we have a great example . tonight It seems like the big migrations tend to occur at night less chance of being caught by predators Here is the radar image that shows the amount scattered by targets in the atmosphere we call this reflectivity at 5 PM . Not much there , just ground clutter and some weak returns from a few birds , planes , density discontinuities in the . atmosphere But here is at 8 PM . the sky is filled with echos . the birds And which way are the birds going We can tell , because we have Doppler Radars , which reveal

  • Go South for Sun! Wine weather.

    Updated: 2010-09-12 16:23:00
    : . skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Sunday , September 12, 2010 Go South for Sun Wine . weather During the fall , the jet stream and its associated weather strengthen and move southward . As a result our region gets increasingly clipped starting with the north . Today and late yesterday are a classic . cases A weak front is now bringing clouds , rain , and cooler temperatures north of Seattle , while to the south it is dry and much warmer . Head to Portland and you can enjoy a warm sunny day . Here is the latest weather radar : image The northern rain is apparent . You don't see much rain over the mountains . but don't believe it . The Camano Island radar is substantially blocked by

  • It’s Pronounced “EYE” Gor

    Updated: 2010-09-09 22:08:19
    Tropical Storm Igor has formed in the Eastern Atlantic. It is forecasted to become a category 2 hurricane by early next week, but it expects to curve northward well before it reaches the mainland of the United States: And whenever I hear Igor, I think of this:

  • The Long-Term Forecast

    Updated: 2010-09-09 15:41:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Thursday , September 9, 2010 The Long-Term Forecast Many of you have asked for the details of the long-term forecast : what is expected for this fall and winter . OK , you asked for it--and some of you may not like what you . hear The most powerful tool we have for predicting months ahead of time is the correlation between El Nino La Nina and Northwest weather . You have heard me talk about this frequently on this blog--the tropical Pacific sea surface temperatures oscillate between cooler than normal conditions La Nina and warmer than normal conditions El Nino over a period of roughly 3-7 years . And it turns out there is a strong correlation between

  • 2011 Storm Chasing Tours

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:45
    Our new storm chasing tour schedule for 2011 is available at StormTours.com.

  • Preliminary Data for Yazoo City Tornado

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:44
    The preliminary data for Saturday's tornado that hit Yazoo City, Mississippi is now available. No doubt this thing was a monster.

  • Tornadoes Expected in Dixie

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:42
    Long track tornadoes, large hail and high winds are expected today across portions of the deep south. This may be one of those events that catches many people off guard - those are the types of events that end up with a death toll.

  • Late April Tornado Fest

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:42
    A major weather system entered the plains today which resulted in a widespread tornado outbreak throughout the Texas Panhandle, western Kansas and Colorado.

  • Wisconsin Tornado & Severe Weather Awareness Week

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:41
    Gov. Jim Doyle has proclaimed April 19-23, 2010 as Tornado and Severe Weather Awareness Week in Wisconsin.

  • The First Tornado Warning of the Decade

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:41
    The first tornado of the decade has been issued. To our knowledge at the current time, an actual tornado hasn't been confirmed - but the warning went out. So what is the lucky area that received it? Texas...Oklahoma?

  • Hurricane Earl on its way to New England

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:17
    As of 2pm east coast time Hurricane Earl was a couple of hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina. Its max sustained winds are around 125, which puts Earl in Category 3 status. While it has been moving westward for most of its life, it has begun to move north at 18 miles per [...]

  • ADD has kicked in (Thanks a lot, Danielle)

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:17
    As a weather weenie, I love staring at radar images of storms. Used to do it as a kid, and I still do it to this day. The same can be said for satellite images, however most of the time those images are updated every 30 minutes. Luckily there are times where we can see [...]

  • Finally settling in North Carolina

    Updated: 2010-09-08 22:05:17
    After being in Asheville, North Carolina for a little over three weeks, it is starting to feel like home. For those of you that don’t know, I am currently working at the National Climatic Data Center. While NCDC is part of NOAA, I am currently contracted through the Cooperate Institute for Climate and Sciences. (Don’t [...]

  • Cloudy and Cool

    Updated: 2010-09-07 03:03:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Monday , September 6, 2010 Cloudy and Cool I got back from a meeting at Lake Tahoe yesterday American Meteorological Society Mountain Meteorology conference and I am ready to get back on the plane to Reno . For September , which has often been a very good month around here , we are seeing cool , cloudy , and wet conditions west of the Cascade crest and north of Salem . Look at the latest satellite picture : you can see a week front moving over our region , but sun and warmth just to the south and east . If it makes you feel better,there are low clouds over coastal southern . CA Looking at the actual temps versus climatology image below Over the last

  • Hurricanes and Uncertainty

    Updated: 2010-09-03 05:47:00
    : skip to main skip to sidebar Cliff Mass Weather Blog This blog provides my latest forecast or comments on current weather or other topics Thursday , September 2, 2010 Hurricanes and Uncertainty Now that Northwest weather has returned to the more usual and benign September fare , lets turn to hurricane . forecasting An interesting factoid : My profession has made huge progress in predicting hurricane tracks , but there has been little headway with hurricane intensity . predictions Here are the official statistics for Atlantic hurricanes . First , for track position error . Big progress , particularly for the longer-range predictions . The 120h forecast today has roughly the same skill as the 48-h forecast in 1970. That's progress The intensity forecasts have gotten worse since 1970 at

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